The science behind our pitcher evaluation system
At Armchair Cyentist, we've spent countless hours watching baseball from our couches and arguing with strangers on the internet. After much beer and many heated debates, we've created our own pitcher ranking system that we think is pure genius.
Our secret weapon is called awRPP (pronounced "a-WURP"), and no, we're not going to tell you what it stands for. Maybe it's "awesome Wins Rating Per Pitch" or maybe it's "awful Waste of Really Precious Pizza." You'll never know, and we like it that way.
ERA? Please. Wins? Are you kidding? WHIP? Whatever. These stats were invented when people still thought the Earth was flat (probably).
Let's face it - baseball has become an offense-dominated game. Everyone's a slugger these days, swinging for the fences on every pitch. Nobody goes for third base or steals anymore because they don't want to risk being thrown out. Small ball is dead! As a result, the only defense that even really matters anymore is pitching - which is why we don't bother tracking any other stats.
Our awRPP stat is better because:
All you need to know: lower awRPP = better pitcher. Trust us, we're "cyentists."
"Look, if we told everyone how awRPP works, then we'd have nothing to feel superior about at fantasy baseball drafts. Also, there's a non-zero chance we made some math errors and don't want anyone checking our work. So yeah, it's staying secret."
Think of it like a secret family recipe for hot sauce. We're not giving up the ingredients, but we'll happily tell you which pitchers are spicy and which ones are mild. And unlike your fantasy baseball algorithm, ours doesn't rank your college roommate's cousin's favorite pitcher at the top.
Our data comes from a combination of official MLB stats, that one guy on Twitter who never sleeps, and sometimes just watching games with one eye open after a few too many. We update it religiously (or whenever we remember). Sometimes we update a day late because the game went into extra innings and we fell asleep.
Is it perfect? No. Is it better than your spreadsheet? Absolutely.
While we joke about our methods, we actually use reliable data sources:
We're grateful to these organizations for making baseball data available. This tool is for educational and entertainment purposes only.
"I have no idea what awRPP is, but it sounds impressive at parties."